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christinagi
CLE 100 62
SEA 93 69
ANA 88 74
BOS 84 78
DET 78 84
LAA 77 85
WAS 69 93
TEX 59 103
MIL 103 59
SD 87 75
MIA 85 77
BRO 84 78
ARI 83 79
PIT 77 85
PHI 72 90
FLA 57 105
[Edited on 5-22-2015 by christinagi]
Predicted 2209 Standings
May 22, 2015 at 02:25PM View BBCode
Using my proprietary algorithms I have concocted my predictions for the 2209 standings. Teams that underachieve these numbers should fire their managers. (This is a mechanical exercise for fun...don't be offended if the standing-o-matic spits out a poor record for your squad :) )CLE 100 62
SEA 93 69
ANA 88 74
BOS 84 78
DET 78 84
LAA 77 85
WAS 69 93
TEX 59 103
MIL 103 59
SD 87 75
MIA 85 77
BRO 84 78
ARI 83 79
PIT 77 85
PHI 72 90
FLA 57 105
[Edited on 5-22-2015 by christinagi]
christinagi
This league presents special challenges. I will modify the model as I go.
The thing it does NOT do at all is consider mid-season trades or injuries.
May 22, 2015 at 04:06PM View BBCode
I've used this system in other leagues. It pretty good at predicting the order or the standings (90% of the time the prediction is no further than +/-1 of actual placement), but not as good at the W-L records.This league presents special challenges. I will modify the model as I go.
The thing it does NOT do at all is consider mid-season trades or injuries.
Buzzz
Nagi, My question is why don't you take into mid-season trades now?
May 23, 2015 at 12:29AM View BBCode
Maybe there should be an algorithms for 'Strength of Tanking'Nagi, My question is why don't you take into mid-season trades now?
MrEd
May 23, 2015 at 02:11AM View BBCode
This is definitely good news for the Beaneaters. They have been sub .500 for the last 13 years so this is a welcome and long earned change. (-:
Buzzz
Heck, just got swept by Washington who was 15-45 at the time. And Texas to this point is 12-54 and thev'e won 6 games against Seattle.
What am learning is that when have 2 different core teams make seamless championship runs, the 2nd wave of players is just not strong enough to win championships. This happened to me last time to. Won alot of championships with the 1st wave of players but the 2nd wave just isnt strong enough to win WorldSeries. A team really has to go through the rebuilt process again after the 1st championship unit retires. Thou it is good for the Prestige rating.
[Edited on 5-23-2015 by Buzzz]
May 23, 2015 at 06:11AM View BBCode
My prediction... Seattle misses playoffs again. Team is way to erratic and bullpen is a underachiving.Heck, just got swept by Washington who was 15-45 at the time. And Texas to this point is 12-54 and thev'e won 6 games against Seattle.
What am learning is that when have 2 different core teams make seamless championship runs, the 2nd wave of players is just not strong enough to win championships. This happened to me last time to. Won alot of championships with the 1st wave of players but the 2nd wave just isnt strong enough to win WorldSeries. A team really has to go through the rebuilt process again after the 1st championship unit retires. Thou it is good for the Prestige rating.
[Edited on 5-23-2015 by Buzzz]
ahmlton
May 23, 2015 at 06:58PM View BBCode
Agree with you completely buzz. Second wave never good enough. Tear down and rebuild only way to go.
nuzzy62
May 23, 2015 at 09:42PM View BBCode
I'm on a 14 year-run but haven't made it to the World Series the last four times. Keep getting hammered in the NL Championships.
ryang
May 24, 2015 at 12:58AM View BBCode
We got 4 really good teams in the nl now...very tough to even make the playoffs...took me three years I think of trying to win to get there...
nuzzy62
May 24, 2015 at 01:13AM View BBCode
I thought about rebuilding both last year and this year but have decided to give it a go.
Buzzz
NL is weak. Whats happening is AL is beating up un each other and then good ol' ABE rolls the dice on who wins the WS. San Diego wouldn't even make th playoffs in those most of those 14 seasons over in the AL. Look at the rosters, majority of SD players would't be starting on the top3-4 teams in the AL.;)
May 24, 2015 at 06:46AM View BBCode
Originally posted by nuzzy62
I'm on a 14 year-run but haven't made it to the World Series the last four times. Keep getting hammered in the NL Championships.
NL is weak. Whats happening is AL is beating up un each other and then good ol' ABE rolls the dice on who wins the WS. San Diego wouldn't even make th playoffs in those most of those 14 seasons over in the AL. Look at the rosters, majority of SD players would't be starting on the top3-4 teams in the AL.;)
christinagi
That's interesting. I could run the model on an alternate division. The model is not bad and would give a pretty good indication of what would be. If you have an idea in the regard, let me know the teams you'd like to place in a realigned division and I'll crank it out on Tuesday
May 24, 2015 at 03:11PM View BBCode
Originally posted by Buzzz
Originally posted by nuzzy62
I'm on a 14 year-run but haven't made it to the World Series the last four times. Keep getting hammered in the NL Championships.
NL is weak. Whats happening is AL is beating up un each other and then good ol' ABE rolls the dice on who wins the WS. San Diego wouldn't even make th playoffs in those most of those 14 seasons over in the AL. Look at the rosters, majority of SD players would't be starting on the top3-4 teams in the AL.;)
That's interesting. I could run the model on an alternate division. The model is not bad and would give a pretty good indication of what would be. If you have an idea in the regard, let me know the teams you'd like to place in a realigned division and I'll crank it out on Tuesday
ryang
May 24, 2015 at 05:54PM View BBCode
I think it's great how after I was pegged to finish first, I probably won't make the playoffs....
nuzzy62
You're in second and will most likely beat me in five in the playoffs.
May 24, 2015 at 06:29PM View BBCode
Originally posted by ryang
I think it's great how after I was pegged to finish first, I probably won't make the playoffs....
You're in second and will most likely beat me in five in the playoffs.
ryang
May 24, 2015 at 06:40PM View formatted
You are viewing the raw post code; this allows you to copy a message with BBCode formatting intact.
Not the way I'm heading....
christinagi
May 25, 2015 at 01:48AM View BBCode
ryang...you might win more if you were less aggressive on the base paths. You've run yourself out of about 50 runs this season.
ryang
May 25, 2015 at 02:25AM View BBCode
My settings this year are conservative compared to last year....
Buzzz
Man, would like to tear down my squad but there isnt anybody with much talent to deal with. Am stuck riding out what have until they retire.
May 25, 2015 at 04:20PM View BBCode
Originally posted by ahmlton
Agree with you completely buzz. Second wave never good enough. Tear down and rebuild only way to go.
Man, would like to tear down my squad but there isnt anybody with much talent to deal with. Am stuck riding out what have until they retire.
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